Abstract
Although the financial and economic crisis did not directly hit the international monetary system, it has lead to the rethinking of the overall architecture that underpins the world economy. Can the current system of floating currency blocs with dollar-based trade and reserves withstand the strains of the global adjustment ahead? It is time to consider alternatives. This article argues that the existing system needs to evolve into a multicurrency one in which a number of international currencies, ideally representing the main trading areas, have the function of storing value and providing the unit of measure. A multicurrency system would respond more flexibly to the demand for liquidity and would provide a way to diversify the accumulation of reserve assets. It is also more appropriate for the increasingly multipolar world economy. The article discusses how in today's larger and more integrated world economy the dependence on the dollar as the basis of both trade flows and financial reserves has become excessive, creating some fundamental imbalances. However, while the rationale for change is clear, the current system is locked in a form of stable disequilibrium where the status quo carries the lowest risk for most players in the short-term. Any abrupt move away from the dollar could trigger trade flow disruption and exchange value losses. Policy cooperation should keep the imbalances under control and manage the transition to a more stable system. The system will evolve, albeit gradually. Looking at the steps taken by some countries, notably China, there is the gathering impression that this decade is one of transition, rather than a 'Bretton Woods moment'. Any reshaping will have to bring in the views of the 'rising powers', China in particular, and their concerns about the limitations of the existing system and the increasingly asymmetric burden of adjustment that it imposes.
International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-) © 2010 Royal Institute of International Affairs
https://www.princeton.edu/~ies/IES_Studies/S12.pdf
The Evolution of the International Monetary System: Historical Reappraisal and Future Perspectives Robert Triffin
The cancer of bankers
Rudo de RuijterIndependent researcher
Netherlands
In The magic of bankers you have been able to read how bankers create balances for loans with a simple line of bookkeeping. There is no money involved. The money for the balances doesn't even exist. This extremely lucrative trick incites the bankers to supply as many loans as possible, but there is more. There are specific growth impulses which makes it impossible to stop the growth of the outstanding loans. Not even with regulations. This has tremendous consequences for our society.
- The creation of the real money
- Repro-contract
The first growth impulse
The fact that each time the central bank demands more money back than it has initially created, means that the banks never have enough money to buy back the securities. They have to sell more securities to buy back the preceding ones.
This causes increasing costs to the banks. To compensate these costs they will have to generate more income, thus supply more loans all the time.
- Inflation: increasing prices
- Inflation: increasing working pressure
- The fairy-tale of economic growth
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