India
India worked out splendidly, just as we planned. Although India was hesitant about opening up its economy - understandable given their experiences with British colonialism - we gained their trust by helping millions of Indians emigrate to the West. In return, India privatized most of their major industries, including their media, and allowed us to become major shareholders. Now, India is tightly integrated into our system.
China
Chiiiiina! The biggest prize slipped away from our fingers. Most people don't realize that the Tiananmen Square uprising in 1989 was actually a "color revolution" manufactured by the CIA, MI6 and social engineering experts, Gene Sharp and George Soros. We even recruited China's 'Gorbachev' - Zhao Ziyang, the top leader of the Chinese Communist Party. Alas, the plan failed and Zhao Ziyang ended up spending the rest of his life under house arrest.
After that, we decided to pursue a patient approach, since we didn't want to lose China's efficient and cheap factories. Furthermore, we assumed that:
As China got richer, its people would rise up and get rid of the communist party
Western products would always dominate the Chinese consumer market
Chinese manufacturing would remain stuck in the low/medium-end of the value chain, since innovation is impossible in an authoritarian society.
China would only become a regional power. Throughout its history, China never showed any skill or interest in foreign relations.
Well, guess what, every one of our assumptions turned out to be wrong. China's GDP grew 27-fold from 1989 to 2017, and yet 84% of Chinese are happy with their socialist government. Also, what was supposed to be just a factory for the West, became the largest trading partner for more than 130 countries.
Confounding our expectations, China has become #1 or #2 in many areas of hi-tech industries including solar energy, electric vehicles, smartphones, supercomputers, Artificial Intelligence and mobile payments. 9 out of the top 20 most valuable internet companies are now Chinese. The fact that a Chinese company, ZTE, made the world's first 5G phone call earlier this year should be a "Sputnik Moment" for us.
Worst of all, China has proved the benefits of public banking. Without the government getting into debt, Chinese public banks give massive long-term loans for infrastructure at extremely low interest rates. This has enabled China to build 25,000 Km of high-speed railway systems and modern cities and other infrastructure projects that benefit the Chinese people. Such a socialistic model makes our private banking system look bad!
China economyFinally, we never thought that China would develop a grand vision such as the Belt and Road Initiative. While we build military bases around the world, China is building high-speed railways, highways, seaports, airports, power plants and pipelines in 65 different countries. If this continues, there's no doubt who's going to have more global influence in the near future.
The biggest threat to western dominance is the Made in China 2025 plan. If they achieve expertise in semiconductor chips and a few other industries, we will lose our global hegemony.
Dear diary, I am writing about an ingenious plan that went awry and altered the trajectory of history. The plan was conceived and implemented over a century by my colleagues and their predecessors, the smartest and the most visionary people in the world. Merely 25 years ago, the plan seemed to have come to fruition, and western intellectuals talked not only about the end of the Cold War, but the "end of history." We were excited about the imminent New World Order (which is now referred to as the "international rules-based order"). Then Asia happened.
After WWII, we established an unprecedented system to control half the world. Thus, in 1992, we were confident about bringing in the other half.
In the early 1990s, China and India represented not only 40% of world's population, but also a vast pool of consumers and diligent workers. After decades of poverty, Chinese and Indians were eager and grateful to embrace capitalism. On the other hand, my colleagues also appreciated the opportunity to make trillions of dollars every year. It was win-win.
The only ones who doubted this plan were those who didn't know that for the first 1800 years of this millennium, the two largest economies in the world were ... China and India.
Of course, bringing more than 2 billion people into our system would also mean a sudden loss of jobs, drastic reduction in wages, and a painful drop in the standard of living for many Americans and Europeans. However, that was a small price to pay for our bigger ambition.
India
India worked out splendidly, just as we planned. Although India was hesitant about opening up its economy - understandable given their experiences with British colonialism - we gained their trust by helping millions of Indians emigrate to the West. In return, India privatized most of their major industries, including their media, and allowed us to become major shareholders. Now, India is tightly integrated into our system.
China
Chiiiiina! The biggest prize slipped away from our fingers. Most people don't realize that the Tiananmen Square uprising in 1989 was actually a "color revolution" manufactured by the CIA, MI6 and social engineering experts, Gene Sharp and George Soros. We even recruited China's 'Gorbachev' - Zhao Ziyang, the top leader of the Chinese Communist Party. Alas, the plan failed and Zhao Ziyang ended up spending the rest of his life under house arrest.
After that, we decided to pursue a patient approach, since we didn't want to lose China's efficient and cheap factories. Furthermore, we assumed that:
Confounding our expectations, China has become #1 or #2 in many areas of hi-tech industries including solar energy, electric vehicles, smartphones, supercomputers, Artificial Intelligence and mobile payments. 9 out of the top 20 most valuable internet companies are now Chinese. The fact that a Chinese company, ZTE, made the world's first 5G phone call earlier this year should be a "Sputnik Moment" for us.
Worst of all, China has proved the benefits of public banking. Without the government getting into debt, Chinese public banks give massive long-term loans for infrastructure at extremely low interest rates. This has enabled China to build 25,000 Km of high-speed railway systems and modern cities and other infrastructure projects that benefit the Chinese people. Such a socialistic model makes our private banking system look bad!
Finally, we never thought that China would develop a grand vision such as the Belt and Road Initiative. While we build military bases around the world, China is building high-speed railways, highways, seaports, airports, power plants and pipelines in 65 different countries. If this continues, there's no doubt who's going to have more global influence in the near future.
The biggest threat to western dominance is the Made in China 2025 plan. If they achieve expertise in semiconductor chips and a few other industries, we will lose our global hegemony.
Rest of Asia
Something remarkable is happening all over Asia. After WWII, Japan succeeded in a brilliant way, which in turn inspired the so-called Asian Tigers - South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore. However, the wild fire of enthusiasm really caught on when China lifted 700 million people out of extreme poverty and created the world's largest middle class. Now every country from India to Indonesia to Vietnam feels optimistic and confident that they can succeed as well, and many of them are consistently growing at 6-7% per year. Asians are now far more optimistic than westerners about the direction of their countries.
Asian countries - including even North Korea - have realized that wars and conflicts only get in the way of prosperity. All this is very bad for our divide-and-rule strategy - we were hoping to use Taiwan, Philippines, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and India to contain China.
If Asia continues to enjoy peace and cooperation, the geopolitical center of gravity will shift dramatically. Many people don't realize that, in terms of purchasing power, China is already larger than the US. In terms of nominal GDP, by 2030, China will be bigger than the US, India will be bigger than Germany, and Asia's GDP will account for 40% of global GDP.
By 2050, the top five world economies could consist of four Asian countries.
While the rising Asian middle class is a lucrative consumer market for our corporations, we dread the rise of multi-national Asian corporations in a decade or two. In other words, we want Asians to be rich enough to buy Colgate and Pampers, but not so rich they can mass produce toothpaste and diapers.
Conclusion
In the early 1970s, David Rockefeller and Henry Kissinger convinced the Chinese elites to open up their economy.
Then we created the WTO in 1995 and enlisted 128 countries, knowing very well what it would do to American/European manufacturing. Letting China into the WTO in 2001 accelerated the demise of the working class in Europe and the US. To hide the devastation, we created the housing bubble on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean. Now, we're also effectively using mass immigration and other social engineering tools to keep people distracted.
I will admit that, blinded by hubris and greed, we misjudged the rise of Asia, especially China. However, let me remind you that we have brought down many would-be empires over the last 250 years. We're not going to simply sit back and let revisionist powers rewrite the world order. The next decade will be both fascinating and dangerous.
After WWII, we established an unprecedented system to control half the world. Thus, in 1992, we were confident about bringing in the other half.
In the early 1990s, China and India represented not only 40% of world's population, but also a vast pool of consumers and diligent workers. After decades of poverty, Chinese and Indians were eager and grateful to embrace capitalism. On the other hand, my colleagues also appreciated the opportunity to make trillions of dollars every year. It was win-win.
The only ones who doubted this plan were those who didn't know that for the first 1800 years of this millennium, the two largest economies in the world were ... China and India.
India
India worked out splendidly, just as we planned. Although India was hesitant about opening up its economy - understandable given their experiences with British colonialism - we gained their trust by helping millions of Indians emigrate to the West. In return, India privatized most of their major industries, including their media, and allowed us to become major shareholders. Now, India is tightly integrated into our system.
China
Chiiiiina! The biggest prize slipped away from our fingers. Most people don't realize that the Tiananmen Square uprising in 1989 was actually a "color revolution" manufactured by the CIA, MI6 and social engineering experts, Gene Sharp and George Soros. We even recruited China's 'Gorbachev' - Zhao Ziyang, the top leader of the Chinese Communist Party. Alas, the plan failed and Zhao Ziyang ended up spending the rest of his life under house arrest.
After that, we decided to pursue a patient approach, since we didn't want to lose China's efficient and cheap factories. Furthermore, we assumed that:
- As China got richer, its people would rise up and get rid of the communist party
- Western products would always dominate the Chinese consumer market
- Chinese manufacturing would remain stuck in the low/medium-end of the value chain, since innovation is impossible in an authoritarian society.
- China would only become a regional power. Throughout its history, China never showed any skill or interest in foreign relations.
Confounding our expectations, China has become #1 or #2 in many areas of hi-tech industries including solar energy, electric vehicles, smartphones, supercomputers, Artificial Intelligence and mobile payments. 9 out of the top 20 most valuable internet companies are now Chinese. The fact that a Chinese company, ZTE, made the world's first 5G phone call earlier this year should be a "Sputnik Moment" for us.
Worst of all, China has proved the benefits of public banking. Without the government getting into debt, Chinese public banks give massive long-term loans for infrastructure at extremely low interest rates. This has enabled China to build 25,000 Km of high-speed railway systems and modern cities and other infrastructure projects that benefit the Chinese people. Such a socialistic model makes our private banking system look bad!
The biggest threat to western dominance is the Made in China 2025 plan. If they achieve expertise in semiconductor chips and a few other industries, we will lose our global hegemony.
Rest of Asia
Something remarkable is happening all over Asia. After WWII, Japan succeeded in a brilliant way, which in turn inspired the so-called Asian Tigers - South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore. However, the wild fire of enthusiasm really caught on when China lifted 700 million people out of extreme poverty and created the world's largest middle class. Now every country from India to Indonesia to Vietnam feels optimistic and confident that they can succeed as well, and many of them are consistently growing at 6-7% per year. Asians are now far more optimistic than westerners about the direction of their countries.
If Asia continues to enjoy peace and cooperation, the geopolitical center of gravity will shift dramatically. Many people don't realize that, in terms of purchasing power, China is already larger than the US. In terms of nominal GDP, by 2030, China will be bigger than the US, India will be bigger than Germany, and Asia's GDP will account for 40% of global GDP.
By 2050, the top five world economies could consist of four Asian countries.
Conclusion
In the early 1970s, David Rockefeller and Henry Kissinger convinced the Chinese elites to open up their economy.
I will admit that, blinded by hubris and greed, we misjudged the rise of Asia, especially China. However, let me remind you that we have brought down many would-be empires over the last 250 years. We're not going to simply sit back and let revisionist powers rewrite the world order. The next decade will be both fascinating and dangerous.
Reader Comments
I see a lot of products on Aliexpress and alibaba for less than the cost of production even in China. overproduction is rampant. they are borrowed to the hilt and will probably have a panic. I would be surprised if we don't see a major down turn in China very soon. At best, they are likely to be flat for the next 30 years like Japan has been since the 90's
TrhthHunter -- If China is borrowing too much to produce ... we're borrowing too much to consume. Guess who's more likely to go bankrupt first?
Sorry to correct a mostly factual piece. But there are only 1000 years in a millennium.
How can 2 nations have the greatest economies for the "first 1800 years of this millennium"
How can 2 nations have the greatest economies for the "first 1800 years of this millennium"
They also misjudged the rise of Russia, as they thought Russia would never recover from the collapse of the Soviet Union. Now they hate everything Russia, and Putin, as Russia has spectacularly risen rapidly under Mr Putin.
While they have indeed had production and financial 'turndowns', they will manage to recover just like we have. After all, China was there first, and has managed to be a consolidated country long before us. Haven't we copy catted from Chna many times?
The disposal of an entire generation of Red Guard was so spectacularly successful, the US used the same distractions to dispose of TWO GENERATIONS instead of one. The expected retirements allowing paid off homes has been deep sixed, and the children of same have lost their earning power and are living with their parents and riding the bus. The grandchildren are in a holding pattern......India's caste has been a shining star for all democratic countries to follow. Only it appears we here in the US have to rely on fluoride and chlorine and multiple mercury exposures to create a class that can be convinced only body work in an abandoned block building is their future. But thankfully, we have a manipulated media to interpret events for us so no matter how many American tanks we see on the strasse outside the window, we can be sure we're winning the war.
The disposal of an entire generation of Red Guard was so spectacularly successful, the US used the same distractions to dispose of TWO GENERATIONS instead of one. The expected retirements allowing paid off homes has been deep sixed, and the children of same have lost their earning power and are living with their parents and riding the bus. The grandchildren are in a holding pattern......India's caste has been a shining star for all democratic countries to follow. Only it appears we here in the US have to rely on fluoride and chlorine and multiple mercury exposures to create a class that can be convinced only body work in an abandoned block building is their future. But thankfully, we have a manipulated media to interpret events for us so no matter how many American tanks we see on the strasse outside the window, we can be sure we're winning the war.
What has become apparent with the differing economic policies of USA and China is the former is involved in sanctions and forced trade whilst the latter desperately needs more open trade.
The US economy is often represented by Wall Street but those bankers have been using interest free money to buy back shares in the public companies they trade on the NYSE to the point that those companies have few shareholders from amongst the general public. The connection between normal Americans and the financial gang has disappeared.
China is obliged to increase trade to maintain the great advance that Chinese people have enjoyed this last 40 years. They are at the stage where the whole world must be involved in growing the economy. The land connections to the rest of Asia, Europe and Africa are safe but the maritime silk road is exposed to disruption and will be delayed. Nevertheless, our prospects are very hopeful.
It is our fortune or misfortune to be alive when a change in the basis to everyday life is occurring. We will need patience and courage but the light at the end of the tunnel is already apparent. We will soldier on.
The US economy is often represented by Wall Street but those bankers have been using interest free money to buy back shares in the public companies they trade on the NYSE to the point that those companies have few shareholders from amongst the general public. The connection between normal Americans and the financial gang has disappeared.
China is obliged to increase trade to maintain the great advance that Chinese people have enjoyed this last 40 years. They are at the stage where the whole world must be involved in growing the economy. The land connections to the rest of Asia, Europe and Africa are safe but the maritime silk road is exposed to disruption and will be delayed. Nevertheless, our prospects are very hopeful.
It is our fortune or misfortune to be alive when a change in the basis to everyday life is occurring. We will need patience and courage but the light at the end of the tunnel is already apparent. We will soldier on.
Corbett mentioned this again today on his site... in the video after the flooding in Japan stuff: [Link]